Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.244250 0.275726 0.309121 0.347128 0.389122 0.434037 0.485645
2025-08-17 0.199654 0.241706 0.288989 0.345874 0.412222 0.486921 0.577139
2025-08-24 0.168592 0.216856 0.273898 0.345823 0.433578 0.536628 0.666205
2025-08-31 0.144680 0.196541 0.260627 0.344845 0.451706 0.581809 0.751099
2025-09-07 0.129297 0.184426 0.255295 0.351865 0.478629 0.637816 0.851055
2025-09-14 0.114278 0.170690 0.245947 0.352004 0.495628 0.681139 0.936234
2025-09-21 0.101952 0.159004 0.237789 0.352314 0.511885 0.723314 1.020971
2025-09-28 0.091624 0.148864 0.230518 0.352694 0.527460 0.764498 1.105431
2025-10-05 0.084250 0.142171 0.227302 0.358088 0.549679 0.815048 1.204103
2025-10-12 0.078912 0.137936 0.227122 0.367491 0.577624 0.874256 1.316690
2025-10-19 0.072684 0.131609 0.223128 0.370654 0.596246 0.920652 1.412649
2025-10-26 0.068260 0.127722 0.222456 0.378557 0.621941 0.977861 1.525849
2025-11-02 0.064380 0.124547 0.222908 0.388603 0.651996 1.043658 1.655717
2025-11-09 0.058474 0.117278 0.216112 0.386575 0.663177 1.081780 1.746248
2025-11-16 0.053505 0.111143 0.210645 0.386185 0.676659 1.123647 1.843706
2025-11-23 0.048915 0.105203 0.204977 0.384937 0.688454 1.163110 1.938674
2025-11-30 0.046188 0.102484 0.204648 0.392568 0.714873 1.226085 2.071790
2025-12-07 0.042592 0.097688 0.200196 0.392674 0.728634 1.269391 2.175521
2025-12-14 0.039369 0.093286 0.196077 0.392991 0.742568 1.313253 2.281359
2025-12-21 0.036455 0.089204 0.192199 0.393396 0.756492 1.357389 2.388862
2025-12-28 0.034461 0.086853 0.191411 0.399319 0.780139 1.418152 2.525004
2026-01-04 0.033117 0.085771 0.192982 0.409648 0.811905 1.493368 2.686962
2026-01-11 0.031122 0.083025 0.191025 0.413121 0.831458 1.548610 2.817545